As the 2012 Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation is released on 18th December 2012, there is only a limited amount of work that can be done prior to its initial release. However there are some possible avenues of work that we know can be developed.
Change over time: as datazones have consistent boundaries, the results for 2012 can be compared with the SIMDs for 2004, 2006 and 2009, to build up a consistent picture of how areas have changed (or not changed) over the last decade.
Relationship with other data: we can relate the SIMD details with other data sources to build up an understanding of the factors that might be driving the change in particular areas. Demographic trends (particularly involving the 25-44 age group), house price and housing tenure (esp the private rented sector) and ethnic diversity are the most obvious areas of comparison.
Use of the Index: the SIMD has been designed to identify areas of multiple deprivation, and to this end the convention has been to define those areas in the bottom 15% datazones (ie the bottom 976 out of Scotland's 6505 datazones) as being deprived. This is of course an arbitrary definition - but it does open up the opportunity to look at other groupings, including
- Detailed analysis of the 5% most deprived datazones, which may be a more accurate definition of deprivation;
- Matching relative change to absolute change;
- Using the Index to describe change unrelated to deprivation, such as the 16%-50% and 51%-100% categories;
- Comparing Glasgow with other surrounding local authorities.
A workplan will be developed to cover these themes and relevant analysis will be featured on this blog.